{"id":4966,"date":"2025-03-26T08:06:27","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T13:06:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/?page_id=4966"},"modified":"2025-05-02T10:41:26","modified_gmt":"2025-05-02T15:41:26","slug":"true-rate-methodology","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/true-rate-methodology\/","title":{"rendered":"TrueRate Methodology"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/mortgage\/interest-rates-today?utm_source=tomo_blog\" rel=\"True Rate by Tomo Mortgage\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"379\" src=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/image-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5259\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/image-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/image-1-300x111.png 300w, https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/image-1-768x284.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/mortgage\/interest-rates-today?utm_source=tomo_blog\">See today&#8217;s TrueRate<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:32px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/mortgage\/interest-rates-today?utm_source=tomo_blog\" title=\"True Rate by Tomo Mortgage\">TrueRate <\/a>uses AI to model your \u201ctrue rate,\u201d combining your specific loan scenario and the latest market information.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It uses unique public and private information about homebuyers\u2019 loans to evaluate lenders who give good (30th percentile), \u201caverage\u201d (50th percentile), or \u201cbad\u201d (70th percentile) rates on 30-year fixed rate, conventional, conforming mortgages for primary residences. (This is the largest segment of the US mortgage market.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We use publicly available data as well as private and proprietary data to help people compare rates apples-to-apples. Our calculations incorporate the <a href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/whats-considered-a-good-interest-rate-for-a-mortgage\/\">most important factors in mortgage pricing<\/a>, including <a href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/what-is-a-lock-in-the-mortgage-world\/\">when you \u201clock-in\u201d an interest rate<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/fico-vs-credit-score-one-and-the-same\/\">FICO Score<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/conventional-loans-101-an-insiders-guide-to-standard-home-financing\/\">Occupancy Type<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/what-are-mortgage-interest-rate-points-and-how-to-save-money-on-your-mortgage\/\">Discount \u201cRate\u201d Points<\/a>. Unlike other mortgage rate comparison sites, our model <strong>derives market percentiles directly from empirical data<\/strong> rather than advertised values.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since we don\u2019t have direct relationships with any other mortgage lenders, we can\u2019t guarantee the lenders will ultimately provide a rate to you that matches their historical norm.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TrueRate Accuracy<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019ve tested and validated our model in two key ways. <strong>Benchmark Tracking <\/strong>&#8211; Does our model yield similar results to 3rd party benchmarks? And <strong>Control Effectiveness<\/strong> &#8211; When we say we\u2019re controlling for variables in the loan scenario, does the model sufficiently capture the nuances of how each variable impacts market rate? Here&#8217;s how our model performed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4979\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1.png 1024w, https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-768x512.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This chart looks at the <strong>Mean Absolute Error<\/strong> between our modeled 50th Percentile Rate and the Freddie Mac 30-year Fixed Rate is 0.032 basis points, mapping nearly exactly to the historic norm over a multi-year span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4980\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2.png 1024w, https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/tomo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-768x512.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this chart, we show that the model effectively controls for the variation in Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio, at 45%, 67.5%, 77.5%, and 96%, as well as the credit score ranges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Share Your Experience<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our intent is for TrueRate to be an educational tool. By giving homebuyers a true rate, we can help them find the right lender for them with an apples-to-apples comparison. While we know it will be helpful for home buyers, we suspect some mortgage lenders might not be so pleased with what the historical data is showing.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Please let us know what you think about TrueRate by emailing us at <a href=\"mailto:truerate@tomo.com\"><strong>truerate@tomo.com<\/strong><\/a>. We would love to hear your thoughts!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TrueRate uses AI to model your \u201ctrue rate,\u201d combining your specific loan scenario and the latest market information. &nbsp; It uses unique public and private information about homebuyers\u2019 loans to evaluate lenders who give good (30th percentile), \u201caverage\u201d (50th percentile), or \u201cbad\u201d (70th percentile) rates on 30-year fixed rate, conventional, conforming mortgages for primary residences. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-4966","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"See today&#039;s TrueRate TrueRate uses AI to model your \u201ctrue rate,\u201d combining your specific loan scenario and the latest market information. 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